The Game Is Close To Completion

• Piotr Kuzniatsou
• 9.08.2021, 12:16

The way the authorities are acting is leading to an ever greater deterioration in the international situation of the regime.

Belarusian political scientist Piotr Kuzniatsou sums up the results of the year of Belarusian protests on his Telegram channel. He believes that the mistakes of the authorities bring the victory of the revolution closer:

- The history of these crossbows begins with a pandemic: the coronavirus and the reaction to it, the arrests of presidential candidates and the mop-up of the elections, lawlessness and violence, legal default, the landing of the Rynair plane, now there is also a crisis on the border - there will be a continuation, there is no doubt about it, can not be.

The drama of the situation is that if they had not started shooting themselves in the legs during a pandemic and then by jailing candidates, the elections would most likely have passed quietly.

If immediately after the elections they fenced off their Drazdy with tanks and just sat inside for a week, and not “saving the country with a blue ass”, then Belarusians would most likely just go home and continue living as they used to.

If they had not launched a wave of repression in the best traditions of Stalin, it would not have worsened the business climate, there would not have been a wave of departure of the “rich”, it would not have led to an outflow of money from the banking system and a collapse of trust in state institutions.

If the plane had not landed, there would have been no sectoral sanctions - by that time Europe had introduced purely symbolic measures, weaker than they were after 2010.

If the border crisis had not been provoked ... Well, there will be an answer to that too, we all understand this perfectly well.

The processes that began in 2020 are irreversible - today it is seen as the same fact as the civil society rolled into asphalt. Simply, everything has its time - today one thing happens, and tomorrow another.

At the first stage, the society did not win, mainly because the budgetary vertical and power structures retained their monolithic character. However, to preserve this monolithicity, firstly, money (unlimited) is needed, and secondly, the understanding that victory will still be with this side.

The current course of action leads to an ever greater deterioration of the international situation (with an extremely negative internal one), with a potential economic blockade. As a result, there will be neither money nor confidence in victory. But new threats, such as workers on strike and protesting workers, will be added.

There was one case in the news recently. Somewhere in the suburbs there lived a man who had a gorgeous mansion full of illegal weapons. Some security officials came to him, and the man realized that something was wrong. He actually had a choice and a lot of options. Well, you never know, they don’t give death sentences for keeping weapons. They could have given a conditional sentence, or a life long term ... That is, the man could stay alive in any case. But the man decided that such a life was not for him, and gave the security officials a real battle, since he still had ammunition.

It all ended much worse than it began. Predictably, they fired there from a grenade launcher, and the man died in the fire.

The current situation in Belarus, in my opinion, is very similar to this case. Having the main weak point in the economy,starting an overall conflict with the whole world (even Iraq has actually closed the sky) is about the same as giving a fight to the security forces at your house. Something like understanding that the game is nearing completion, they feel too lazy to go around courts, so it is better to finish the question as loudly as possible, to the greatest detriment of others.

So, everything goes on as it should. History is such a thing ... It always goes on as it should.